Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.054247 0.058881 0.063576 0.068682 0.074071 0.079582 0.085636
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.045842 0.052523 0.059541 0.067437 0.076044 0.085115 0.095371
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.039642 0.047745 0.056541 0.066738 0.078167 0.090523 0.104826
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.036459 0.045875 0.056393 0.068897 0.083240 0.099066 0.117734
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.033217 0.043578 0.055465 0.069930 0.086872 0.105909 0.128736
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.030407 0.041499 0.054548 0.070769 0.090127 0.112234 0.139126
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.027317 0.038801 0.052654 0.070239 0.091608 0.116390 0.146946
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025391 0.037376 0.052156 0.071261 0.094841 0.122542 0.157085
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.023002 0.035161 0.050507 0.070720 0.096060 0.126219 0.164249
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021265 0.033663 0.049646 0.071055 0.098272 0.131037 0.172759
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020096 0.032833 0.049567 0.072318 0.101594 0.137188 0.182891
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019713 0.033045 0.050833 0.075303 0.107095 0.146048 0.196388
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017359 0.030356 0.048133 0.073058 0.105937 0.146711 0.199942
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015769 0.028656 0.046682 0.072383 0.106739 0.149794 0.206488
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014415 0.027207 0.045495 0.071993 0.107861 0.153253 0.213509
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014058 0.027252 0.046405 0.074464 0.112774 0.161580 0.226719
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013352 0.026698 0.046412 0.075663 0.115987 0.167742 0.237236
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012629 0.026062 0.046261 0.076610 0.118848 0.173459 0.247219
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011568 0.024797 0.045109 0.076082 0.119670 0.176501 0.253781
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011005 0.024321 0.045111 0.077182 0.122706 0.182449 0.264109
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.010082 0.023156 0.044001 0.076620 0.123412 0.185305 0.270436
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.009443 0.022440 0.043544 0.076980 0.125377 0.189825 0.278941
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.009066 0.022165 0.043760 0.078319 0.128712 0.196180 0.289870